Governance Quality and Renewable Energy Investment in Emerging Markets: Evidence Against the FDI Mediation Hypothesis
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.23882/ijdam.26272Palavras-chave:
Investimento em energia renovável, Investimento direto estrangeiro, Análise de mediação, Efeitos de limiarResumo
This study examines whether institutional quality influences renewable energy investment indirectly through foreign direct investment (FDI). Using panel data for 12 major emerging markets over 2015–2022, we apply a three-step mediation framework with two-way fixed effects and conduct a threshold analysis across income levels. Governance quality has a positive and statistically significant effect on renewable energy investment, but this effect does not operate through FDI. Neither the governance-to-FDI nor the FDI-to-renewable energy channels are significant, and the indirect effect explains only a negligible share of the total impact. Threshold results show that governance effects materialize only above GDP per capita levels of approximately $6,000–7,000, suggesting that institutional quality and economic development are complementary rather than substitutable. These findings indicate that improving governance alone is insufficient to attract renewable energy investment in lower-income settings. The results challenge conventional assumptions in the green finance literature and provide new evidence on the conditional role of institutions in the energy transition.
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Direitos de Autor (c) 2025 Nada OUIA, Rachid EL BETTIOUI

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